Trade Report

October 2025 Industrial Trade Report

Rows of shipping containers are stacked side by side in an outdoor storage area, illuminated by sunlight.
Rows of shipping containers are stacked side by side in an outdoor storage area, illuminated by sunlight.

 

Stay Ahead with the October GCP Trade Report

Unlock the latest trade insights and practical strategies to strengthen your business and seize new opportunities.

Highlights from the Report:

  • U.S./China trade tensions escalated after China imposed new export controls on rare-earth materials and the U.S. responded with threats of up to 155% tariffs effective November 1.
  • U.S./India relations improved, with negotiations advancing toward a deal to reduce tariffs from 50% to 15-16%, marking the first major de-escalation since 2024.
  • Global manufacturing growth slowed, though remained in expansion territory; business sentiment and employment levels weakened slightly heading into Q4.
  • Raw material prices rose for the 12th straight month, up 11.6% year-over-year, driven by continued increases in steel and aluminum costs.
  • Natural rubber prices stabilized around 170 U.S. ¢/kg amid stronger supply from Southeast Asia and softer automotive demand.
  • Global basic-materials sectors returned to growth, signaling renewed momentum in upstream industrial activity, even as overall confidence stayed subdued.
  • Trade flows grew more volatile as companies diversified supply chains to avoid tariff exposure.
  • Canadian exports to the U.S. declined, reflecting weaker demand for metals, machinery, and forestry products.
  • U.S. port volumes fell 6.8% year-over-year, with container traffic from China down 23%, underscoring the continued impact of tariffs and cautious importer sentiment.
  • Freight markets remained uneven, ocean reliability improved marginally, while trucking capacity stayed soft but stable, with limited holiday-season spikes expected.

Learn more about these key issues in the full report linked below.

⏱ Estimated Reading Time: 9 minutes
📄 Report Length: 2979 words

 

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